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Dr Tim Potier specialises in what he describes as the 'mechanics of conflict settlement'. That is, the international and municipal legal processes required to transform any post-conflict society from a condition of peace to an effective and functional (constitutional) settlement. He is currently a Visiting Fellow at the Centre of International Studies, University of Cambridge, where he is conducting research on deadlock-avoiding/resolving mechanisms in post-conflict States.
Summary: With the two communities (Greek and Turkish) being led by moderates, hope for the reunification of Cyprus is at its highest since the Turkish military invasion of 1974. Talks between the two leaders commenced in September 2008, with an unofficial timeline for their completion by the end of 2009, very beginning of 2010 at the latest. Early signs are encouraging, although disagreement continues on the core matters (security, property, governance, etc.), as the process approaches its second, give-and-take, stage.
In his presentation, a follow-up to his Friday lecture "Reunifying Cyprus: the Legal Sticking-Points to a Settlement" (of May 2008), Dr Tim Potier will reflect on the consequences of: (i) the current process failing to result in agreement, (ii) there being an agreement, but the subsequent referendum failing for a second time, and (iii) reunification occurring, but the settlement ultimately failing. With sizeable percentages in both communities resistant to a change away from the status quo, the prospect of failure will remain always considerable.
Lecture Notes: Cyprus - the Consequences of Failure
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