A recent contribution to Opinio Juris considered what a possible settlement for Ukraine might look like. The aim was to show that a relatively condensed settlement could be possible, despite the ever more complex nature of the situation in Ukraine. That contribution also attempted to demonstrate a few ideas on how one might address some of the more difficult issue areas in a potential settlement.
Any specific settlement proposal will of necessity reflect the relative configuration of the sides on the battlefield and in the wider political arena. It is not possible to predict what the situation will be by the time the sides reach an eventual settlement. However, the parties and the mediators might find it helpful to see a fairly broad range of options for addressing each of the key issue areas they face when constructing the actual settlement. Here we offer settlement options on most of the core issues for the sides.
Initial versions of these papers were published on Opinio Juris.
- Status of Ukraine (Neutrality) (Marc Weller)
- New European Security Order (Walter Kemp)
- Conditions for a Comprehensive Ceasefire and Withdrawal of Foreign Forces (Robert Serry)
- Weapons of Mass Destruction (Grant Dawson)
- Security Guarantees (Marc Weller)
- Territory (Marc Weller)
- Disengagement of Forces and Confidence and Security Building Meadures (Peter Jones)
- A Russia-Ukraine Claims Commission After the Armed Conflict (Anonymous Expert)
- Ukrainian Pathways to the European Union (Jed Odermatt)
- Multilevel Peace Agreement Design: Dealing with Geopolitical Support (Christine Bell)
- Transparency and Inclusion in the Peace Process (Tiina Pajuste and Sanam Naraghi-Anderlini)
- International Presence (Richard Gowen)
- Autonomy Models and Options (Marc Weller)
- Language and Minority Rights for Russian-speakers (John Packer and Fernand de Varennes)
- Gender as an Issue in the Settlement (Sanam Naraghi-Anderlini)
- Crime of Aggression (Kevin J Heller)
- War Crimes (Melanie O’Brien)
- Humanitarian Issues (Emanuela-Chiara Gillard)
- Protection of Vulnerable Persons (Diane Marie Amann)
- Sexual Violence
- Sanctions Relief (Sara Elizabeth Dill)
- Cease-fire Joint Commission (Walter Kemp and Alexander Hug)
- Disarmament and Demilitarization (Renata Dwan)
- Rehabilitation and International Financial Institutions
- Reconciliation (Elena Bayliss)
- Prisoner Exchange and Detainee Release (Cristina Teleki)
- Environment (Marie-Claire Cordonnier Segger and Markus Gehring)
- Making the Agreement Dynamic; Coping with Change
- Dispute Settlement and the Peace Agreement (Stefan Wolff)
- Energy and Natural Resources
- Voluntary Return of Refugees (Erin Mooney)
- Avoiding Hostile Propoganda and Hates Speech (Talita de Souza Dias)
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