A recent contribution to Opinio Juris considered what a possible settlement for Ukraine might look like. The aim was to show that a relatively condensed settlement could be possible, despite the ever more complex nature of the situation in Ukraine. That contribution also attempted to demonstrate a few ideas on how one might address some of the more difficult issue areas in a potential settlement.
Any specific settlement proposal will of necessity reflect the relative configuration of the sides on the battlefield and in the wider political arena. It is not possible to predict what the situation will be by the time the sides reach an eventual settlement. However, the parties and the mediators might find it helpful to see a fairly broad range of options for addressing each of the key issue areas they face when constructing the actual settlement. Here we offer settlement options on most of the core issues for the sides.
Initial versions of these papers were published on Opinio Juris.
- Background Paper: Implications of the Use of Force for a Political Settlement (Marc Weller)
- Status of Ukraine (Neutrality) (Marc Weller)
- New European Security Order (Walter Kemp)
- Conditions for a Comprehensive Ceasefire and Withdrawal of Foreign Forces (Robert Serry)
- Weapons of Mass Destruction (Grant Dawson)
- Security Guarantees (Marc Weller)
- Territory (Marc Weller)
- Disengagement of Forces and Confidence and Security Building Measures (Peter Jones)
- A Russia-Ukraine Claims Commission After the Armed Conflict (Anonymous Expert)
- Ukrainian Pathways to the European Union (Jed Odermatt)
- Dispute Settlement Mechanisms and Peace Agreements (Stefan Wolff)
- Detainee Release and Exchange (Cristina Teleki)
- Multilevel Peace Agreement Design: Dealing with Geopolitical Support (Christine Bell)
- International Peace Operations (Richard Gowan)
- Sanctions on Private Assets and Criminal Justice Processes (Sara Elizabeth Dill and Layla Abi-Falah)
- Children (Diane Marie Amann)
- Addressing Sexual Violence in the Ukraine Conflict (Anne Marie Goetz)
- Reconciliation (Elena Baylis)
- A Dynamic Political Settlement: Adapting to the Evolving Post-Agreement Context (Simona Ross)
- Transparency and Inclusion in the Peace Process (Tiina Pajuste)
- Transitional Justice (Elisenda Calvet-Martínez)
- Information Operations (Talita Dias)
- Internally Displaced Persons and Refugees (Erin Mooney)
- Peace Stabilisation and Demilitarisation (Peter Jones)
- Language and Minority Rights for Russian-speakers (John Packer)
- Gender as an Issue in the Settlement (Sanam Naraghi-Anderlini and Helena Gronberg)
- Crime of Aggression (Kevin J Heller)
- War Crimes (Melanie O’Brien)
- Humanitarian Issues (Nathalie Weizmann)
- Cease-fire Joint Commission (Walter Kemp and Alexander Hug)
- Rehabilitation and International Financial Institutions (Ray Salvatore Jennings)
- Environment (Marie-Claire Cordonnier Segger and Markus Gehring)
- Evolving Options for a Settlement as the War Drags On (Tom Hill)
- Energy Security (Tibisay Morgandi and Jasmina Davis)
- Unwinding Sanctions through a Settlement (Erica Moret)
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